Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.025746 0.027863 0.029984 0.032266 0.034647 0.037054 0.039670
2025-08-10 0.021602 0.024928 0.028381 0.032217 0.036343 0.040632 0.045413
2025-08-17 0.018966 0.022942 0.027176 0.031985 0.037262 0.042847 0.049172
2025-08-24 0.017080 0.021535 0.026385 0.031997 0.038259 0.044978 0.052686
2025-08-31 0.015405 0.020202 0.025531 0.031805 0.038907 0.046623 0.055569
2025-09-07 0.014045 0.019115 0.024858 0.031723 0.039596 0.048241 0.058357
2025-09-14 0.012650 0.017888 0.023937 0.031280 0.039806 0.049267 0.060434
2025-09-21 0.011435 0.016796 0.023105 0.030877 0.040008 0.050236 0.062404
2025-09-28 0.010061 0.015422 0.021865 0.029928 0.039521 0.050373 0.063390
2025-10-05 0.009614 0.015181 0.021971 0.030557 0.040857 0.052585 0.066728
2025-10-12 0.009043 0.014746 0.021808 0.030838 0.041764 0.054287 0.069469
2025-10-19 0.008324 0.014073 0.021316 0.030689 0.042136 0.055348 0.071457
2025-10-26 0.007875 0.013770 0.021314 0.031186 0.043341 0.057456 0.074752
2025-11-02 0.007194 0.013121 0.020855 0.031109 0.043857 0.058770 0.077148
2025-11-09 0.006518 0.012432 0.020304 0.030884 0.044166 0.059817 0.079213
2025-11-16 0.005991 0.011918 0.019959 0.030896 0.044748 0.061174 0.081633
2025-11-23 0.005435 0.011324 0.019476 0.030708 0.045063 0.062197 0.083647
2025-11-30 0.004962 0.010821 0.019092 0.030628 0.045495 0.063350 0.085806
2025-12-07 0.004413 0.010159 0.018457 0.030193 0.045463 0.063925 0.087263
2025-12-14 0.003923 0.009552 0.017870 0.029799 0.045462 0.064522 0.088735
2025-12-21 0.003324 0.008711 0.016910 0.028870 0.044752 0.064230 0.089117
2025-12-28 0.003193 0.008659 0.017091 0.029486 0.046027 0.066382 0.092457
2026-01-04 0.002981 0.008449 0.017030 0.029761 0.046856 0.067981 0.095125